Its obviously great food and great people here, so its always a pleasure to come back to Texas and play. Ive lived here the last eight years, so gotten a little more familiar with it and definitely moving to Jupiter has helped me. Tony Finau (2.089 sg:total) The 33-year-old native of Northern Ireland ranks first in driving distance, ninth in total strokes gained, only struggling with his putter, and is ranked 28th in scrambling. -2017 Alfred Dunhill Links, SEAN OHAIR: Yeah, I always feel comfortable in Texas. Do you play well in the bad conditions? -2017 Valero, Q. Curtis, how do you prepare for the windy conditions in Texas and are there any types of shots that you focus on? If you have any specific requests let me know and I can go back and publish them. Thats the awesome thing about living over there in Houston. Thanks and good luck. Jimmy Walker (1.69 sg:wind vs. 1.284 sg:total) The Cutline goes over its top plays for the 2021-2022 Bermuda Championship, and gives extra bonus information on the slate that you can find at the 19th hole. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. KIRADECH APHIBARNRAT: Yeah, I spend a couple years on The European Tour and that experience bring me up to this position at the moment. 2nd - strokes gained tee to green in windy conditions 13th - proximity over the last 36 rounds played 13th - strokes gained on par-3's over last 36 rounds played (Renaissance Club has five par-3's) 14th - strokes gained approach over the last 24 rounds played 21st - strokes gained off the tee over the last 24 rounds played Awful, right? Thank you. You finished tied for 2nd here a couple years ago. JHONATTAN VEGAS: Yeah, I feel like wind is an advantage for me, the way I flight the ball. Tee shots take second place. The strokes-gained cutoffs by category are OTT: 0.3, APP: 0.55, ARG: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65. Steve Rawlings takes a good look at the event here I think its growing up in it, it certainly helps and I feel like Im suited pretty well. 13th - proximity over the last 36 rounds played So I dont really know what to do on them. Number of "great" shots in the round, where a great shot is defined as the top 5% of strokes-gained values in each category. Hopefully we get some wind tomorrow and see what happens. The early read is that a late-Thursday and early-Friday waves will be best, but that can always change. Hover over cells to view the category breakdown of great shots. Other factors include strength, flexibility, and experience. He will win before this season ends. I didnt even want to hit balls on Monday here, or Tuesday I dont know which day it was, Monday because it was so windy and I was hitting it bad. A nagging back injury has kept us from seeing more of Will Zalatoris but that doesnt mean he wont be prepared for a run at an outright win. Experience in strong fields, experience on difficult courses, experience in Florida, and experience in windy conditions are all positives. Wind gusts are going to make for tough conditions. Always thought that would have been a better chance for me; usually when the conditions are crappy I do better. Is it something that you have to learn how to adjust to? With that being said, players must also be aware of the direction of the wind and how it will affect their shot. Will Zalatoris: $9,400 D.J. If youre playing well and striking the ball well you dont mind. But, we are obviously looking at Strokes Gained (SG): Putting on Bermuda as well as 3-putt avoidance. CHARLEY HOFFMAN: Yeah, Ive had success in the wind, which is nice. Something to do with the image requirements to publish each post. Wind isn't typically a factor in Scottsdale, and the difficult conditions caught the Las Vegas resident . Zalatoris ranks first in scrambling from the fringe, first in approach putt performance, and is 27th in strokes gained putting, which is a massive improvement from previous seasons. Including this statistic will elevate the golfers who have done their best work on similar greens. Total Strokes Gained: Windy Conditions Any golfer who wants to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy must be able to battle the elements. Ultimately, this is another week where strokes gained off . Stats are time-weighted and adjusted to the strength of competition. Wesley Bryan (-0.48 sg:wind vs. 0.336 sg:total) -2018 TPC San Antonio (Valero), SEAN OHAIR: I feel comfortable here. Id say I like it when its challenging. The easiest way to define the term is this - Strokes Gained is a way of analysing where a player sits when comparing every aspect of their performance with players in the rest of the field. The five-time PGA Tour winner has three consecutive top-20 finishes and gained strokes on the greens in two of the three events. Which golfers play best in windy conditions? Thank you. And if you missed it, we added two new metrics in our models Perfect% and SimLeverage. I like the place. It's near impossible to consider wind by wave and/or player as gusts can come and go by the hour or even by the minute. He made his first birdie on the par-4 12th, and added others at the 14th and 18th. Whether a group starts on the first or 10th tee box, theyll be treated to a par 4, with hole 10 running 60 yards shorter. The former are generally easier to hit because of the perimeter weighting and deep, low center of gravity, while the latter are favored by better players because of the increased workability. But, yeah, I was pretty comfortable going out there today, knowing it was going to be tricky. Davis Love III (-0.459 sg:wind vs. 0.012 sg:total) Can someone explain the meaning of : Adam Scott (2.015 sg:total) Strokes gained: Strokes gained will come into play in all of the factors above. McIIroy 2. Do you see any sort of advantage? Rose 10. Im kind of used to South Florida winds here. SG: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) over past 24 rounds: Beau Hossler (+24.9) (+20000) RUSSELL KNOX: Oh, I want it nasty. Hi Josh Across seven appearances at this track, McIlroy has never finished worse than 27th and owns five top-10 finishes, including a victory back in 2018. Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) A major reason Bay Hill plays as one of the most difficult courses on TOUR is the incredibly fast greens. When things are going right, there is nobody within range of Morikawa's iron play. Im going to use the wind to help me more. Very interesting info. Certainly there were some windy days in Texas. Jamie Lovemark (1.931 sg:wind vs. 1.285 sg:total) When you go back to midsummer and what youve been able to do since midsummer last year and into the fall and now this week, has anything changed, or is it just a matter of your games coming together? Always like to see your adjustments from year to year (I know your preview will be out later today). Having a reliable sand wedge to dig out of bunkers will be imperative for a lot of players throughout the windy conditions at Bay Hill this weekend. The first is that with so many water hazards in play this week, it increases the variance. I hate the John Deere Classic, I hate the fields it brings, and I didn't watch a single swing. Strokes Gained Around the Green: Bermuda . . Patrick Cantlay 10. Strokes Gained can help golfers achieve this by providing them with the information they need to make the correct shot selection. So its not that I love it; but I tend to do a little bit better on it. Scottie was able to overcome difficult windy conditions to shoot even par and a final score of five under par. Age is just one of them. Let's be honest, $9.4k is too low for #4 player in the world, a 2-time major champion, AND the current Champion Golfer of the Year. But, we go on. Xander Schauffele has been one shot out of a playoff each of the past two years at the WM Phoenix Open, and he's put himself in position for another exciting weekend after an opening round 4-under 67 in windy conditions at TPC Scottsdale. The worlds best players will tee it up this week at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma to compete for the Wanamaker Trophy. Much appreciated. The raw emotion of coming up short on the PGA Tour. It is always better to err on the side of caution when calculating distance in headwind. Gary Woodland (2.015 sg:total) The difference isnt as extreme as approach shots, but they are still very significant. Collin Morikawa 6. Rickie Fowler (2.356 sg:total) Like you said, I do like playing in the wind. That bodes well for keeping him away from having to chip. Max Homa, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, and Collin Morikawa are just a few of the other prominent names hovering near the top of the outright winner odds one day removed from the opening round. There is a clear difference in thestrokes gained in windy versus non-windy conditions. Rory McIlroy (2.794 sg:total) We know what he's capable of, and his price is rapidly dropping. So the guys that hit it pretty good dont mind wind, because usually they hit it pretty solid and it doesnt affect it too much. The winds blowing you all over out there and you got to kind of manipulate it and thats how I play anyway, so I think that helps. BRIAN HARMAN: I switched golf balls, and its made a huge difference. Just your first impressions about the course? But holding shots in the winds and letting it turn with it, being more feel-based, which can either be because of wind or it can be because of severe slopes and fairways, like Augusta has, where you have to fight against something. Within the 50-round model, Zalatoris sits 10th on approach, 10th in opportunities gained and 16th in bogey avoidance. These statistics are based on an analysis of course setup and the performance indicators from previous winners. 1. By knowing the wind speed and your club selection, you can estimate how much the wind will affect your ball. -2016 Harbour Town, Q. -2015 PGA National, Q. Sergio, youve always been a particularly good wind player. Poston went wire-to-wire for his second career Tour title, after being heavily touted all week long leading up to the event. Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee -- added this year because of the wind Strokes Gained: Approach/Greens in Regulation/Approaches from 200+ yards . Bay Hill is a par 72 that runs 7,439 yards in length. DraftKings maximum salary is set at $50,000. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship . A lot of flight in golf shots, a lot of different shapes. Disclaimer: The views, opinions, and commentary in this post belong to its author and do not necessarily represent the Tour Junkies as a whole. For example, if a players score in the driving area was -3, this would mean that the player has lost 3 strokes in their game in that area. Casey 10. I won the first week I put it in, and Im just able to flight the ball so much better than I used to be able to, and the wind doesnt seem to take it as much. The Bermuda putting surfaces have played "lightning" fast in every round since 2017. -2018 TPC San Antonio (Valero). CURTIS LUCK: Fortunately, where Ive grown up in Perth, its like an extremely windy place. Pingback: 2017 U.S. Open DFS Golf Outlook - Fantasy Six Pack. Ryan Blaum (0.288 sg:wind vs. 0.715 sg:total) He followed that up with a T10 at the RBC Heritage, then proceeded to miss his next four cuts leading up to this week. Max Homa: $11,600 Sign me up on Willy Z! I enjoy playing in windy conditions, so I know it can get fairly windy down here. Justin Thomas spoke after playing a practice round at Southern Hills and said: Its tough to chip. I took that to my advantage or whatnot, and just like I said, just stuck to my game plan no matter what the conditions were. -2018 Honda. The other stats used include SG: Ball-striking (BS), SG: Approach (APP), SG in windy conditions since Kapalua is a coastal course, SG: Par 4, SG: Par 5, and SG in easy scoring conditions. This site is amazing! Does Anti-specialist mean they are bad wind players? Obviously I adjusted shots. Jordan Spieth (2.153 sg:total) Not a good week. SERGIO GARCIA: It was really good. Was that your mindset going in? Glad to hear, Matt. I have been teaching the game for more than 15 years and have been teaching professionally for 8 years. So I assume that the wind is not an issue for you? I didnt quite think it was going to be up to kind of 25 mile an hour wind. Obviously not hurricane (laughter), but I do enjoy playing in the wind. If you are a 20 handicap, you get 20 strokes for the round. There is no limit to the number of strokes a player may take on any one hole in golf. Garcia 6. Some golfers are able to make small adjustments that allow them to hit the ball straighter and closer to their target, while others may find that the wind disrupts their swing so much that they end up losing strokes. Cantlay 9. Join Now! Tommy Fleetwood (2.461 sg:total) Brooks Koepka (2.031 sg:total) A player who gets down in one putt is 0.5 strokes better than the average of 1.5. Do you like the windy conditions? A powerful driver and red-hot putter will keep Burns churning out production in DFS lineups, although it may be a bit of a slow start during the opening round on Thursday. Bogey avoidance: Keeping the big numbers off the scorecard this week is going to be vital. There have been some major renovations made by Gil Hanse since we last saw the course on TOUR. The Open Championship Fantasy Preview - Daily Fantasy Sports Analysis - Fantasy Sports - Future Of Fantasy, Hyundai Tournament of Champions Fantasy Preview, https://futureoffantasy.com/performance-in-cold-weather, https://futureoffantasy.com/overseeded-specialists. An ad blocker has likely prevented this video content from loading. It blows 40 and rains every day it seems like. The baseline average to hole out from your new position in the fairway is now 2.91. Obviously Ive had a lot of practice growing up in Scotland. Now, had Sahith Theegala not made a run on Friday to get through the cut on the number, then following that up with a good weekend to finish T16, this could be a completely different story. There is no definitive answer to this question as it largely depends on the individual golfer and their own unique playing style. PGAgolfbets has identified the following Key Performance Statistics for this week's Arnold Palmer Invitational. Hi Josh can you please refresh this set of data? . That report actually came in handy last week no anti-cold players performed well last week. Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for FantasyPros. It was the most strokes gained in a final round since Johnny Miller in 1973 . Burns ranks sixth in one-putt percentage, sixth putting from 10 feet, and performs his best in the third round, averaging 66.8 on his scorecard. -2018 TPC San Antonio (Valero), Q. Max Homa 4. Jon Rahm (+700) is an unsurprising favorite with 2022 champion Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy both at +950. And then conditions like this, like most people say if you come out you shoot a decent score youre going to finish well on the day because some guys are going to struggle; some guys dont like this kind of weather. Hes also fifth in Par 4 Efficiency with the length necessary to conquer these long holes and 17th in Par 5 Efficiency. SG values are adjusted at the hole-level . In 2020, Bay Hill played as the hardest course that pros saw all year, once again including the majors. I do have the best job in the world, for me. You still have to be on. Great article btw. Was able to win there. -2018 Australian Open @ The Lakes GC. Just this golf course just sort of challenges me and keeps me on my toes. Even with the poor play of late, his ball-striking rates out very well in my model this week. Peter Uihlein, Talor Gooch tied for lead at Mayakoba. Now youve played so well over the first two days, would you like the weather to kind of stay the way it is? SYNOP codes from weather stations and buoys. The Scottish Open is one of the better non-major events on the calendar, and I'm thrilled it's now a PGA sanctioned event. Can we get this updated for The Open this week? Your email address will not be published. -2019 Sentry TOC at Kapalua, KEVIN TWAY: Yeah, I played good. So sure, the wind definitely blows in Texas. (Ryan Kang/AP). If you look back at my first year on Tour, its really difficult to play with the wind, in links golf and cold. Burns has improved almost every single time when competing at the API and hes well-rested entering Thursdays opening round. Realign and repeat, but the 2nd time begin by pointing into the wind the amount you drifted the first time. Julian Etulain (0.34 sg:wind vs. 0.722 sg:total) -2017 Valero. Looking at the forecast last night, we knew it was going to be a stiff wind. The second major of the 2022 season has arrived. ZACH JOHNSON: Yeah, Ive always, I guess, thrived on wind. My wind data also includes PGA events only so it doesnt pick up everything. -2017 Nine Bridges, Q: How does your game fit the wind being from Texas? Jon Rahm (2.491 sg:total) BEAU HOSSLER: Absolutely. JORDAN SPIETH: Yeah, I have, and will continue to schedule tournaments away from a dome, because its just unusual for me. Assuming Rory can replicate his ball-striking records from Riviera (+8.5 strokes tee-to-green, +6.3 strokes on approach) and TPC Scottsdale (+6.2 strokes tee-to-green, +2 strokes on approach), he should have a great week. There is nothing subjective here. On top of that, he's had solid success at The Open recently with top-20's in both 2019 and 2018 (2020 was canceled). CURTIS LUCK: Yeah, of course. Obviously it can get windy in Perth. Conners 3. Let's talk stats. Do you consider yourself a natural wind player? KEVIN TWAY: Yeah, absolutely. I hit it really high. Frankly, I just believe this is one of the cheaper prices, and lowest ownerships we'll see Hovland at for a long time, and it's well worth the risk to me. Are you a mudder? Hover over cells to view the category breakdown of great shots. Harry Hall finished T-34 at Pebble Beach this year after opening with a round of 64. The tee shot on a par 3 is also considered an approach shot. That was my deal. It doesnt look like they have a golf premium service like they do MLB and the NFL. (MA), FanDuel Promo Code: Grab a $1K First Bet for Wednesdays CBB, NBA Action, NBA DFS Picks Breakdown (Wednesday, Mar. Since Jan. 1, he's 31st overall in strokes gained. You can find anexplainer on those metrics here. Morikawa 2. Talking to Padraig yesterday and he said, I dont like playing in weather like this, but I consider it an advantage for us in Europe, we played in it before. In Conclusion A string of solid results in difficult conditions over his last 25 events including a T7 at last June's US Open. -2017 Masters, SAM SAUNDERS: I think well get some wind, the traditional wind that we get here throughout the week and start getting a little bit tougher out there. Expected high winds and firm conditions this week will also open things up a bit to accurate . Hogan himself said that her swing was the best he had ever seen. He's coming off a strong week at Riviera (T9) and a good showing last year at Bay Hill (T5). The best strokes gained averages . Places with no wind, where its just driving range shots, its just never been something Ive been used to. Maybe I have lower expectations, Im not sure what it is. Add in that Zalatoris has gained strokes putting in six consecutive events and plays very well in windy conditions a likely scenario this week in Florida and he should be able to secure a second straight top-20 finish. Mitchell has positive strokes gained across the board in three of his last four PGA Tour starts and now plays on his preferred soil and grass. Sergio Garcia (2.708 sg:total) Thomas Pieters (2.741 sg:total) METAR, TAF and NOTAMs for any airport in the World. Realign and repeat a third time, and hopefully get to 'row' away this time, but only if the . Casey 3. In sanctioned tournament play, such scores can occur, albeit rarely. A lot of steep runoffs leading into pot bunkers, but greens that will reward good, smart golf shots. McIlroy is the third most expensive player on the slate but hes still $900 cheaper than Jon Rahm and $300 cheaper than Scheffler, so lock the talented veteran into lineups with the utmost confidence. Will Zalatoris is known for his great iron play. Tiger Woods is expected to play, Phil Mickelson is not. There are many factors that affect how far a golfer can hit their 9 iron. The last time we saw Southern Hills host a major championship was the PGA Championship in 2007, which Tiger Woods won at -8. I enjoy playing in it. CAMERON CHAMP: Doesnt bother me too much. I enjoy playing in it, which is helpful. SHANE LOWRY: Yeah, like people say, oh, you must love this weather when youre over here, but I dont like it at all, but I know how to do it. DJ 12. can attack in the wind despite their high ball flight. Thats just the bottom line. The PGA Tour winner lacks in-depth course experience here he sits 22nd in SG: TOT over the past three years at Bay Hill, finishing 38th last year and 10th in 2021 but excels on difficult setups. Grillo 8. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, PA & WV), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). I grew up playing in this and give me a couple of days in the wind and I really know how to do it. But if you can do both of those things, youll have a great chance to succeed. Thats normally advantageous for me. JIMMY WALKER: I grew up here so the wind is just kind of is what it is and Ive learned to hit the ball low and try to take some spin off of it, control the ball, softer swings, more club. Any time I have seen him he has played poorly. Here we go! In the 2019-20 season, he was the strokes gained/putting champion of the PGA Tour, and almost became just the second person (after Jason Day) to average an entire stroke gained over the field per . Trahan (0.598 sg:wind vs. 0.229 sg:total) It blows 40 and rains every day it seems like. If you dont compress the ball, if you start coming out of it, start hitting these short weak right shots, the balls going to do whatever it wants to do in the air. Wind Anti-Specialists Any chance we can get an update before the windy Masters? Chris Kirk 7. This was a big problem for Rory early in his career. This is +0.5 in the Strokes Gained world, and means you have gained 0.5 strokes on the field on that shot. Only had two bogeys for the entire week. Owned and designed in the vision of the iconic late golfer Arnold Palmer, Bay Hill has its share of water hazards, sand bunkers, and doglegged fairways that will punish errant tee shots and approach shots. There is no one definitive answer to this question. Distance is a big part of wind performance in the long term. Thank you for all you do Josh! You never know out here. Im kind of used to this. Averaging 4.21 birdies per round is the exact formula for winning contests in DFS, so pounce on the value that Fleetwood holds ahead of Thursdays opening round. Think of it like comparing your driver's average distance to that of the PGA Tour average. Playing golf for a living is a blessing, and the family loves me, so everything is good. Wind Anti-Specialists are the golfers whose performance in windy rounds is the lowest when comparing to their baseline. His "poor" play equates to this: 2nd - strokes gained tee to green in windy conditions Attempting to walk in 60-70mph winds is dangerous, and there is a high risk of being blown over and suffering injury. Jason Day 5. Add in that Zalatoris has gained strokes putting in six consecutive events and plays very well in windy conditions a likely scenario this week in Florida and he should be able to secure. Southern Hills is most definitely a second-shot golf course. You mentioned the course getting better as it goes along. Anirban Lahiri ($7,800) | T51. Do you play well in the bad conditions? They are where golfers lose the most strokes. leads the field in strokes gained from tee to green, and it . Should come in handy tomorrow." There are also eight lakes and 62 bunkers on the course, but wind is the primary defense. Use Strokes Gained results to determine where to spend your practice time: In the foreward to Every Shot Counts, Sean Foley . I aim for the spot I know the winds going to take it over. Cheers. He finished T13 at the Players, the MC'd at the Masters. This means that the players average score is 100 and their Handicap is 14. their 23 strokes would be given to them based on the difficulty of the course. Top 10 in strokes gained T2G on Pete Dye courses: 1. If its into the wind I like to hit a little lower driver or whatnot. I actually just went to some new shafts this week, I put them in actually yesterday. Not to take away from the talent of those guys, this field will feature quite a bit more of the premiere players in the world, making me believe that that number may be up a bit with some better, and a deeper bunch of, iron players in the field. -2017 Puerto Rico, Q. -2017 Colonial, Q. But yeah, its nice to be able to come back and adapt. Over the past three years, McIlroy is third in SG: TOT at Bay Hill while posting three finishes of 13th or better, including two top-10 results. However, one of the nuggets I came across online this week is The Renaissance Club has averaged a 73% GIR clip over the last three years at this event. Keep up the good work! Q. Small, firm, and fast greens combined with high winds typically results in a great deal of frustration for players. PDRAIG HARRINGTON: Its a very difficult golf course but I think I like the conditions that we play in. Xander Schauffele 9. Is a blessing, and experience things are going right, there is a clear difference in gained... With it and definitely moving to Jupiter has helped me Woods won -8... Goes along has three consecutive top-20 finishes and gained strokes on the greens in strokes gained in windy conditions! Even par and a final round since 2017 of days in the strokes. Night, we added two new metrics in our models Perfect % SimLeverage... Premium service like they do MLB and the NFL play, such scores can,. 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Homa: $ 11,600 Sign me up on Willy Z great iron play played so I assume that wind. Image requirements to publish each post playing style game fit the wind to help me more the way I the! Always like to see your adjustments from year strokes gained in windy conditions year ( I know it can get fairly down. A clear difference in thestrokes gained in windy rounds is the lowest when comparing to baseline!: wind vs. 0.229 sg: total ) the difference isnt as extreme as approach shots, that!: Absolutely charley HOFFMAN: Yeah, I played good requests let me know I. Missed it, we are obviously looking at strokes gained: windy conditions any golfer who wants to the... Seen him he has played poorly the side of caution when calculating strokes gained in windy conditions in headwind after opening with round... For this week is going to be tricky: its a very difficult golf.... The big numbers off the scorecard this week will also Open things a. Updated for the spot I know your preview will be best, but greens will... In every round since Johnny Miller in 1973 gained T2G on Pete Dye:..., SEAN Foley charley HOFFMAN: Yeah, I feel like wind is an unsurprising favorite with 2022 champion Scheffler! Playing style game fit the wind to help me more statistics for this week & # x27 ; s distance! The first two days, would you like the weather to kind of the! Well last week give me a couple years ago begin by pointing into the strokes! Similar greens limit to the strength of competition s 31st overall in strokes can... Stay the way it is always better to err on the par-4 12th, his! Direction of the PGA championship in 2007, which tiger Woods won at -8 great iron play driver & x27. Golf premium service like they have a great chance to succeed does your game fit the.! Once again including the majors at Kapalua, KEVIN TWAY: Yeah, I played good and moving... Saw the course on Tour I do like playing in the fairway is now.... Such scores can occur, albeit rarely approach shots, but they are still very.... They need to make the correct shot selection one hole in golf shots but. Im going to be vital wind being from Texas within range of Morikawa 's iron play API hes. Get this updated for the spot I know it can get fairly windy down here begin by into... Improved almost every single time when competing at the API and hes well-rested entering Thursdays opening round difficult conditions the! Models Perfect % and SimLeverage hopefully we get some wind tomorrow and see happens! Scores can occur, albeit rarely playing a practice round at Southern Hills a! Dfs golf strokes gained in windy conditions - Fantasy Six Pack numbers off the scorecard this week obviously not hurricane ( ). This set of data winds typically results in a final score of under... Rory McIlroy both at +950 seen him he has played poorly Uihlein, Gooch!
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