Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. The new poll shows the two candidates are tied at 47%, with 4% saying they wouldn't vote for either candidate and 2% saying they didnt know yet, suggesting turnout will be key. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). IE 11 is not supported. In Marquette's September poll, Evers led Michels among likely voters 47% to 44%. Liberal groups in Wisconsin seeking to change rules governing absentee ballots suffered a blow this week after an appeals court and a circuit judge ruled that ballots cannot contain partial addresses of witnesses. We want to bring transparency to the elections process by shining a light on how campaigns and outside groups are using political mailers to talk to voters. The margin of error for the poll's likely voters sample is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. "Now, that's what Democrats have been doing to Ron Johnson for nearly two years," said Lee. Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital. In a possibly positive sign for Barnes, far more respondents to the poll said they viewed Johnson unfavorably. A pedestrian walks by a sign in front of a polling location on Tuesday, April 5, 2022, in Milwaukee, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. A Fox News poll released Aug. 18 had Barnes with 50 percent of the support of likely voters and Johnson trailing with 46 percent. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. ", Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. Barnes enjoyed a 4-point lead over Johnson if the election were held today among all registered voters, and a 2-point lead in favorability. Business; Politics; Military; Elections; Law; Immigration; Technology. In the new poll, registered Wisconsin voters said the issue they were most concerned about was inflation, followed by public schools, gun violence, abortion policy and crime. With 98.91% of the vote in, Johnson had 50.5% . Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support versus Barnes' 45% support. Mandela Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate former Vice President Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee for president at the 2020 Democratic National Convention at the . Tony Evers, sought to portray Johnson as a champion of monied interests and pledged to work with lawmakers to enact policies that would benefit working-class families, including an expansion of the child tax credit. Wisconsin Mandela Barnes (D) vs. Ron Johnson (R) What do the House races . ", In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said in a statement that the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". In a general election match up, Mandela beats Ron Johnson by 2 points, more than any of his opponents. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. Follow her on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hausofcait. ", Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., speaks to supporters after arriving at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. . A spokesperson for Johnson's campaign told Wisconsin Public Radio they "don't put much stock in public polls.". GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. The poll surveyed 803 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percent. Updated on: November 9, 2022 / 11:38 AM This year, Johnson is the only incumbent Republican senator running for reelection in a state President Biden won in 2020. Sign up now! Johnson won his first Senate race in 2010, unseating Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold. Barnes has a 51%-44% lead over Johnson in the Wisconsin Senate race, per a new Marquette Law poll. Lt. Gov. The latest Marquette Law School poll also found the race for governor has tightened in the pivotal battleground state. A new poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School shows 49 percent of voters support Johnson's reelection to a third term. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report has rated the battleground Senate race as a toss-up, and other recent polling has shown the two candidates nearly deadlocked as the midterms draw nearer. Governor Mandela Barnes, left and US Senator Ron Johnson participate in the senate debate co-hosted by Marquette University and TMJ4 at Marquette University's Varsity Theatre at 1326 W.. Most young women are not. Mandela Barnes is leading in recent polls against the pro-Trump senator, whose positions on abortion and same-sex marriage, as well as . Now, it's Barnes who is relatively unknown among Wisconsin voters. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider Yorkshire Post. ", Lee said the value of political polling in Wisconsin has become less predictable as the state has become more "deep purple.". There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. A central Wisconsin food pantry grew fivefold during the pandemic. Lt. Gov. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., poses for photos with supporters at a election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. 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The man leading the charge to unseat Johnson this year is the polar opposite of the millionaire Boomer conservative: Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes, a 35-year-old Black former community organizer. Since then, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors to work for his reelection campaign, and he's spent more than $20,000 for legal consultation with a Wisconsin law firm that assisted former President Donald Trump's efforts to overturn the state's 2020 election results. Mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid Just the Latest Lie From Ron Johnson - A . Ron Johnson has turned up the volume on the issue of race in his closing message to base voters, whose support will be crucial in his tight contest against Mandela Barnes, who would be the state's . Mandela Barnes, clashed on crime and Jan. 6 as they tussled during their first debate on Friday.. Moderator and veteran newscaster . Notably, the margin of error was 4.5 percentage points. The U.S. Senate race in the battleground state of Wisconsin is among closely watched contests on the national scene as Republicans hoped to gain seats in the U.S. House and Senate. The Marquette poll found that more voters had a favorable opinion of him than not, but 30 percent said they haven't heard enough about Barnes. MADISON, Wis. (AP) U.S. Senate Republican Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes got personal in their final debate Thursday before the Nov. 8 election, with each candidate . Barnes has citedformer President Barack Obama as his inspiration for entering politics. The incumbents leads were reversed, however, when the CNN poll results were expanded to include all registered voters in the state. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Barnes sought to portray himself as a stronger advocate of the state's working-class citizens. Wisconsin's Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. Poll: Ron Johnson widens lead over Mandela Barnes in Wisconsin Senate race The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with. Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East School culture wars fuel top House GOP bill, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. IE 11 is not supported. Editor's note: WPR's Jonah Chester, Joe Schulz and Andrea Anderson contributed reporting to this story. He said clerks have been legally free to interpret the term in good faith, drawing on non-binding guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission, its predecessors and advice from attorneys. All rights reserved. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsins Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. They pointed to a CBS News poll from over the weekend showing Johnson ahead . It occurred concurrently with a Senate election in the state, elections to the state's U.S. House seats, and various other elections.Incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker sought re-election to a third term, and was challenged by Democratic candidate and then-Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Evers, as well . More from. Barnes' campaign, and other Democratic strategists, viewed the poll as an outlier. Johnson did not respond to the Pulse's request to participate in the questionnaire. 4:12. Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson suspended his Senate campaign on Monday, followed by Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry on Wednesday. Approximately 50% of likely voters said they support Johnson in the race, compared to 48% for Barnes, according to the Marquette poll of 679 likely voters. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. Top Sheboygan officials lacked key details on police department sexual harassment probes, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Tired of waiting, a Wisconsin island community is directing millions to create its own high-speed internet. Democrats won or held onto key seats, including John Fettermans win over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania. Barnes is tied with Johnson in the head-to-head, a sign of Barnes' latest strength and indicating serious weakness on the part of the 11-year incumbent. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. New York City Mayor Dismisses Separation Of Church And State,Despite his vow to uphold the U.S. Constitution, Eric Adams said he "can't separate" his Christian beliefs from his public duties. Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. When results started trickling in around 8:30 p.m. Tuesday, Barnes took an early lead over Johnson, but the Republican slowly closed the gap as more of the state's precincts reported. For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. Although Wisconsin's primary won't take place until August 9, Barnes, who was already leading in the polls, is all but guaranteed to secure the Democratic nomination. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). Market data provided by Factset. But Johnson got a majority of support from voters who thought COVID-19 restrictions in the state were too strict. Evers and Michels will face off on Friday for their only televised debate. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Barnes had also attempted to undercut Johnsons claims that he supports law enforcement by repeatedly pointing out that he downplayed the Jan. 6 riot, in which police were overrun and in some cases brutally beaten by a pro-Trump mob. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Marquette's August survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percent. Above left, Johnson departs from the Senate chambers on July 21. Ninety-three percent of Democrats support Barnes and 96 percent of Republicans support Johnson, while 96 percent of Democrats support Evers and 88 percent of Republicans support Michels. Mandela Barnes faced off Thursday in their second debate, clashing over crime and abortion in a series of heated exchanges.. Johnson is running for reelection to a third term, while Barnes hopes to topple the GOP. Lt. Gov. Barnes raised nearly $34.6 million, spent $32 million, and had almost $2.6 million in the bank, as of October 19. Wisconsin's lieutenant governor, Mandela Barnes, 35, is trying to unseat Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, 67, who was first elected in 2010. Mandela Barnes, is the choice of 48%. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same of the Democrat. Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Supporters wait for Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., to speak at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Johnson has long been known as a polarizing and controversial figure in politics who made headlines for pushing drugs like hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin as early treatment options during the COVID-19 pandemic. The new poll shows 51% of independents likely to cast a vote support Johnson, compared with 45% backing Barnes. The Wisconsin Senate race is a virtual toss-up, with Republican Sen. Ron Johnson edging Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes within the margin of error in a Marquette University Law School poll. Part of the shift can be attributed to likely independent voters. Democratic candidate Mandela Barnes, the state's. On the other hand, Mandela Barnes said he agreed to be a part of the debate anchored by the Main Street Alliance and the Wisconsin Farmers Union because the group commonly lines up with the democrats. Market data provided by Factset. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. Due to a planned power outage on Friday, 1/14, between 8am-1pm PST, some services may be impacted. In early October, Barnes launched a "Ron Against Roe" tour of Wisconsin to highlight Johnson's longtime support for national abortion bans. At the beginning of the election cycle, Johnson was seen as one of the most vulnerable Republican incumbents in the U.S. Senate. Develop The Democrat's lead was just outside the survey's 3 percent margin of error. Only 1 percent of likely voters are still undecided in the gubernatorial race, according to the poll, which surveyed 652 likely voters in Wisconsin from Oct. 3 to Oct. 9 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. Among likely voters, in his race for reelection, Sen. Ron Johnson, a Republican, is supported by 49%, while his Democratic opponent, Lt. Gov. Biden garnered 49.5 percent four years later. For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. Barnes was supported by 46 percent of registered Wisconsin voters, and the senator was backed by just 44 percent. The Nov. 8 election is a little more than two weeks away, and we're wrapping up our coverage of the candidates . It was all to play for Thursday night as Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson met Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. 33. Mandela Barnes, the lieutenant governor of . Mandela Barnes during a debate on Oct. 7. He said the August polling results from multiple sources show him "this is a very competitive race and Democrats have a compelling opportunity to unseat Ron Johnson.". The CBS News/YouGov poll was released on Sunday. That ruling meant Wisconsins near-total abortion ban from 1849 went into effect over the summer. The CNN poll was conducted Oct. 13-17 and surveyed 905 registered Wisconsin voters, 714 of whom were likely voters. Vermont Peter Welch (D) vs. Gerald Malloy (R) 34. Analyzing the Wisconsin Senate and governor's races, the poll found both races deadlocked: Mr Barnes trails incumbent Sen Ron Johnson by. Morry Gash/Associated Press At Johnson's election night watch party in Neenah, the crowd was in high spirits throughout the evening giving loud cheers as they watched Fox News election coverage of the race. Reach her at caitlin.yilek@cbsinteractive.com. ", Barnes did not take the stage on election night. Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting. The. This week . InWisconsin's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. In order to do so, the Republican-controlled state Legislature would need to pass a constitutional amendment. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. In the Senate, Johnson serves on the Foreign Relations Committee, the Budget Committee, the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, and the Commerce Committee. But despite the ex-senator leading in most public polling that year, he went on to narrowly lose to Johnson once again. Sign up for notifications from Insider! Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. All rights reserved. But I just want to give you guys the sense that this race is over.". Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more Fox News politics content. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. The lieutenant governor and former State Assembly member is expected to face a difficult campaign as he seeks to unseat Johnson, who has served in the Senate since 2011. (Last month, the Republican-controlled state Legislatureblocked initial effortsto get that question on the ballot.). 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Keep updated on the latest news and information. Johnson leads with men and older voters.. Incumbent Sen. RonJohnson(R-Wis.) and Democratic challenger MandelaBarnes are neck and neck in Wisconsins Senate race, according to a new CNN poll. 'The most vulnerable Republican incumbent' The Barnes strategy is to define Johnson as a changed man, someone who went to Washington as an insurgent candidate but then enmeshed himself into the. This race is over.. Democrats had initially been hopeful that they could oust Johnson, who was increasingly defined by headlines over his statements on issues such as abortion, his perpetuation of dubious and unproven Covid treatments, and his ties to the Jan. 6 riot and fake elector plot to help throw the 2020 election to then-President Donald Trump. In the states race for governor, Democratic Gov. In response, Johnson said he would like to see Wisconsin's 1849 abortion ban changed to allow exemptions for instances of rape and incest. Johnson has downplayed the violent insurrection at the U.S. Capitol that day on Jan. 6, where Trump supporters assaulted Capitol police officers as they tried to stop Congress from certifying President Joe Biden's 2020 victory. A Fox News survey of. Johnson got a boost from voters'. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! That means Barnes' narrow lead is well within the survey's margin of error. His campaign focused heavily on promises to protect abortion rights and Social Security benefits. "So, I think that's what I'm watching most.". Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. Leaders expect it to keep growing. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. (Photo by Three Lions/Hulton Archive/Getty Images) OAN Deven BerryhillUPDATED 6:45 PM PT - Monday, February 27, 2023 A well-known British newspaper recently . That poll surveyed 756 likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 points. That number had fallen to 9 percent in Marquette's Aug. 17 poll. Independent candidate Joan Beglinger who ended her campaign in September but will still be on the ballot garnered 4% in the poll, while 1% of respondents said they were undecided. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. Voters in Wisconsin grade President Biden's performance, criticize and defend him on top issues, Gavin Newsom attacks federal judge overseeing California's assault weapons ban: 'This sickens me', NRSC launches funds to give Republican Senate candidates a 'war chest' for key 2024 Senate races, House Republicans slam DOD's 'unacceptable' delay in providing answers on improper release of military records, Biden admin rolls out cybersecurity strategy aimed at thwarting borderless cyber threats, ransomware. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. Fully 50 percent of voters said the statement "does not describe" the senator, and just 39 percent said it described him correctly. The Oshkosh Republican led Barnes, a Democrat, 51% to 46% among likely voters in a poll commissioned by AARP. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes. After Barnes won an all but uncontested U.S. Senate Democratic primary in August, the lieutenant governor led Johnson by 7 percentage points in Marquette polling. The Associated Press called the race for Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday as the senator led Barnes by 27,374 votes. FOX NEWS POLL: POLARIZATION DEFINES THE MIDTERM ELECTION. MILWAUKEE A new Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin voters finds close races for governor and for the U.S. Senate. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Wisconsin has been viewed as a swing state in recent elections but has generally gone for Democratic presidential candidates in elections going back to 1988. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case. "The votes are in," Johnson said in an email. Mandela Barnes were locked in a race that was too close to call early Wednesday. Johnson built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began relentlessly focusing on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy worked. I want to thank my family and everyone who supported me and worked so hard to save this U.S. Senate seat. But a successful rebrand, as well as unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime and criminal justice issues, appeared to help Johnson's standing among voters. 2016: Johnson (R) +3.4|2010: Johnson (R) +4.9, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,GenericVote|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,Generic Ballot|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, RCP Average:Johnson +3.6RCP Ranking:Toss UpRCP Projection:GOP HoldKey 2022 Races:Governor|Senate|WI-3, 2020:President|WI-32018:Governor|Senate|WI-1|WI-32016:President|Senate|WI-82014:Governor|WI-6|WI-72012:President|Governor (Recall)|Senate|WI-7|WI-82010:Governor|Senate|WI-3|WI-7|WI-8, All Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes Polling Data. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. The Democrat became the state's first Black lieutenant governor when he took office in 2019. Mandela Barnes in their second debate at Marquette University's Varsity. 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